The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI | Rodney Brooks

Rodney Brooks; The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI; Series, Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence; In His Blog; 2017-09-07.

tl;dr → Calm down. Get You’ve had your fun, now get back to work. Keep your day job.
and → <quote>The claims are ludicrous.</quote>
and → <quote>Predicting the future is really hard, especially ahead of time.</quote>

Construction

Narratives

A. Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
B. The Singularity.
C. Misaligned Values.
D. Really evil horrible nasty human-destroying Artificially Intelligent entities.

Listicle
  1. [A,B,C,D] Over and under estimating
  2. [B,C,D] Imagining Magic
  3. [A,B,C] Performance versus competence
  4. [A,B] Suitcase words
  5. [A,B,B,B,…] Exponentials
  6. [C,D] Hollywood scenarios
  7. [B,C,D] SPEED OF Deployment

Mentions

  • The corpus is surveyed.
  • People with some serious-sounding titles are being very silly.

References

Which are largely negative exemplars of the Clarity of Thinking to which he strives…

Previously

In His Blog, as the series, Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence

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