The Fate of Online Trust in the Next Decade | Pew Research Center

, ; The Fate of Online Trust in the Next Decade; Pew Research Center; 2017-08-10; 89 pages; landing.

Teaser

Many experts say lack of trust will not be a barrier to increased public reliance on the internet. Those who are hopeful that trust will grow expect technical and regulatory change will combat users’ concerns about security and privacy. Those who have doubts about progress say people are inured to risk, addicted to convenience and will not be offered alternatives to online interaction. Some expect the very nature of trust will change.

Concept

  • Delphi-type survey design
  • N=1,233
  • A pull-quote generation vehicle. To Wit.

Summary

  • 48% → trust will be strengthened
  • 28% → trust will stay the same
  • 24% → trust will be diminished

Scope

Six major themes on the future of trust in online interactions

Theme 1
Trust will strengthen because systems will improve and people will adapt to them and more broadly embrace them

  • Better technology plus regulatory and industry changes will help increase trust
  • The younger generation and people whose lives rely on technology the most are the vanguard of those who most actively use it, and these groups will grow larger
Theme 2
The nature of trust will become more fluid as technology embeds itself into human and organizational relationships

  • Trust will be dependent upon immediate context and applied differently in different circumstances
  • Trust is not binary or evenly distributed; there are different levels of it
Theme 3
Trust will not grow, but technology usage will continue to rise, as a “new normal” sets in

  • “The trust train has left the station”; sacrifices tied to trust are a “side effect of progress”
  • People often become attached to convenience and inured to risk
  • There will be no choice for users but to comply and hope for the best
Theme 4
Some say blockchain could help; some expect its value might be limited

  • Blockchain has potential to improve things
  • There are reasons to think blockchain might not be as disruptive and important as its advocates expect it to be
Theme 5
The less-than-satisfying current situation will not change much in the next decade
Theme 6
Trust will diminish because the internet is not secure, and powerful forces threaten individuals’ rights

  • Corporate and government interests are not motivated to improve trust or protect the public
  • Criminal exploits will diminish trust

Producers

Imagining The Internet (Center)
  • Pew Research Center
  • Elon University

Separately noted, maybe, but you have to wait for it.

Code Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age | Pew Research

, , Dana Page; Code Dependent: Pros and Cons of the Algorithm Age; 2017-02-08; 87 pages; landing.
Teaser: Algorithms are aimed at optimizing everything. They can save lives, make things easier and conquer chaos. Still, experts worry they can also put too much control in the hands of corporations and governments, perpetuate bias, create filter bubbles, cut choices, creativity and serendipity, and could result in greater unemployment.

Table of Contents

  • Overview
  • Themes illuminating concerns and challenges
  • Key experts’ thinking about the future impacts of algorithms
  • About this canvassing of experts
  • Theme 1: Algorithms will continue to spread everywhere
  • Theme 2: Good things lie ahead
  • Theme 3: Humanity and human judgment are lost when data and predictive modeling become paramount
  • Theme 4: Biases exist in algorithmically-organized systems
  • Theme 5: Algorithmic categorizations deepen divides
  • Theme 6: Unemployment will rise
  • Theme 7: The need grows for algorithmic literacy, transparency and oversight
  • Acknowledgments

Referenced

There are lots of references and footnotes.

Separately noted.

Networked: The New Social Operating System | Lee Ranie, Barry Wellman


Lee Rainie, Barry Wellman; Networked: The New Social Operating System; The MIT Press, reprint; 2014-02-14; 376 pages; kindle: $10, paper: $3+SHT.

Lee Rainie is Director of the Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project and former managing editor of U.S. News and World Report.

Barry Wellman directs NetLab at the Faculty of Information, University of Toronto. He is the founder of the International Network for Social Network Analysis and a Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada.

Argot

  • Information Communication Technologies (ICTs)
    apparently a generic & fancy term covering everything from PSTN, bulletin board, forums, email, newsgroups, web sites and on to the modern chat apps.

Commentariat

from the commentariat at Amazon

<quote>The central message is the increasing capacity of individuals to act independently with great impact. The potent anecdotes and solid data make for a convincing presentation, but in the final chapter on “The Future of Networked Individualism” the authors unleash their imagination by suggesting compelling possibilities and troubling dangers.</quote>

Something about a shift from “groups” to “networks.”

The Revolutions
  • the network revolution
  • the internet revolution
  • the mobile revolution
Social Effects
  • family life
  • work
  • contact with friends
  • information spread
  • etc.
The Scenarios
  • an optimistic scenario
  • a dystopian scenario

The sci-fi futures, riffage thereon.
<quote><snip/>the text refers to various surveys conducted by Pew Internet and several other similar groups</quote>

People don’t want to trade privacy for targeted ads | Poynter

People don’t want to trade privacy for targeted ads; Rick Edmonds; In Poynter, their blog; 2016-01-14.

tl;dr → an overview of the contemporaneous events.

Original Sources

Mentions

  • Consumers don’t like ads; they attest to such when prompted in surveys.

Previously

Rick Edmonds, In Poynter, their blog:

Privacy and Information Sharing | Pew Research Center

, (Pew Research); Privacy and Information Sharing; In Their Blog 2016-01-14.
Teaser: Many Americans say they might provide personal information, depending on the deal being offered and how much risk they face

Original Sources

Mentions

  • <quote>Location data seems especially precious in the age of the smartphone. Some of the most strongly negative reactions came in response to scenarios involving the sharing of personal location data. One respondent put it as follows: “I continually deny location services on my phone because I don’t want the chance of ads coming up.” A focus group participant said she doesn’t worry about most personal data collection “except where I am, especially in my home. If anything involves the use of cameras, including on my phone or computer, that’s the worst privacy invasion for me.”</quote>
  • <quote>Profiling sometimes seems creepy. The words “creepy” and “Big Brother” and “stalking” were used regularly in the answers of those who worry about their personal information. One focus group participant summed up this view: “Some of the marketing tracking things are creepy. I look at one thing online and then see it on every single site for weeks. At first – intriguing. Then creepy.” Another argued: “Perhaps we need to teach the younger generations about BIG BROTHER. It seems he has been forgotten.” To which another group member added: “Orwell was a prophet.”</quote>

Promotions

Actualities

The Changing Digital Landscape: Where Things are Heading | Pew Research Center

The Changing Digital Landscape: Where Things are Heading; (Pew Research Center); Presented at Tencent Media Summit, Beijing, China; 2015-11-12; 36 slides.

Contents

  • Three (3) digital revolutions have changed the news
  • State of the digital news media 2015
  • Six (6) impacts on news and the media
  • Five (5) trends for the future

Separately noted.

 

Most Americans Want More Privacy, Don’t Trust Advertisers, Social Media Or Search | Pew Research Center

Most Americans Want More Privacy, Don’t Trust Advertisers, Social Media Or Search; ; In Marketing Land; 2015-05-21.

Original Sources

Mary Madden, Lee Rainie; Americans’ Attitudes About Privacy, Security and Surveillance; Pew Research Center; 2015-05-20, 50 pages.
Teaser: Many want control over their personal information and freedom from observation during the activities of their daily lives, but they re not confident that government agencies or businesses that collect data about them can keep that information private and secure.

, (Pew Research Center); Americans’ Attitudes About Privacy, Security and Surveillance; In Their Blog; 2015-05-20.

 Mentions

  • Panel
    • Survey, N=498, 2014-08-05 -> 2014-09-02
    • Focus Gorup, N=26, 2014-12.

Americans’ Privacy Strategies Post-Snowden | Pew Research Center

, ; Americans’ Privacy Strategies Post-Snowden; Pew Research Center; 2015-03-16; 37 pages.
Teaser: Some are shifting their basic behaviors with technology, but few are making big changes using sophisticated tools.  Many are not aware of the advanced strategies they could use to help them be more private – and others have just not considered these options.

Promotion

Americans’ Privacy Strategies Post-Snowden; , (Pew Research Center); In Their Blog; 2015-03-16.

The Future of Privacy : Digital Life in 2025 | Pew Research Center

The Future of Privacy : Digital Life in 2025; Pew Research Center; 2014-12-18; 72 pages; landing.

Who

  • Lee Rainie, Director, Internet, Science, and Technology Research, Pew Research
  • Janna Anderson, Director, Elon University’s Imagining the Internet Center

Contributors

  • Miguel Alcaine, International Telecommunication Union area representative for Central America;
  • Jari Arkko, chair of the Internet Engineering Task Force;
  • Francois-Dominique Armingaud, formerly a computer engineer for IBM now teaching security;
  • danah boyd, research scientist at Microsoft;
  • Stowe Boyd, lead at GigaOM Research;
  • David Brin, author of The Transparent Society;
  • Bob Briscoe, chief researcher for British Telecom;
  • Vint Cerf, vice president and chief Internet evangelist at Google;
  • David Clark, senior scientist at MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory;
  • Glenn Edens, research scientist at PARC and IETF area chair;
  • Jeremy Epstein, lead director for the US National Science Foundation’s Secure and Trustworthy Cyberspace program;
  • Seth Finkelstein, a programmer, consultant and EFF Pioneer of the Electronic Frontier Award winner;
  • Bob Frankston, Internet pioneer and innovator;
  • Dan Gordon of Valhalla Partners;
  • Jonathan Grudin, principal researcher for Microsoft;
  • Joel Halpern a distinguished engineer at Ericsson;
  • Jim Hendler, Semantic Web scientist and professor at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute;
  • Francis Heylighen, a Belgian cyberneticist investigating the evolution of intelligent organizations;
  • Christian Huitema, distinguished engineer with Microsoft;
  • Jeff Jarvis, director of the Tow-Knight Center at the City University of New York;
  • Mike Leibhold, senior researcher at the Institute for the Future;
  • Herb Lin, chief scientist for the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board at the US National Academies of Science;
  • Clifford Lynch, executive director of the Coalition for Networked Information;
  • Alice Marwick, author of Celebrity, Publicity, and Branding in the Social Media Age;
  • Peter McCann, a senior staff engineer in the telecommunications industry;
  • Jerry Michalski, founder of REX, the Relationship Economy eXpedition;
  • Craig Newmark, founder of Craig’s List;
  • Ian Peter, pioneer Internet activist and Internet rights advocate;
  • Raymond Plzak, former CEO of the American Registry for Internet Numbers, now a member of the board of ICANN;
  • Jason Pontin, editor in chief and publisher of MIT Technology Review;
  • Howard Rheingold, pioneering Internet sociologist;
  • Mike Roberts, Internet Hall of Famer and longtime leader with ICANN;
  • Mark Rotenberg, president of the Electronic Privacy Information Center;
  • Paul Saffo, managing director of Discern Analytics and consulting associate professor at Stanford;
  • Henning Schulzrinne, Internet Hall of Fame member;
  • Tiffany Shlain, founder of the Webby Awards and host of The Future Starts Here;
  • Barbara Simons, former president of ACM and board chair for Verified Voting;
  • Doc Searls, director of ProjectVRM at Harvard’s Berkman Center;
  • Hal Varian, chief economist for Google.

Components

Previously

The Internet of Things Will Thrive by 2025 | Pew Research

Janna Anderson; Lee Rainie; Digital Life in 2025; Pew Research Center; 2013-03-11; 61 pages
Teaser: Experts predict the Internet will become ‘like electricity’ — less visible, yet more deeply embedded in people’s lives for good and ill

Promotion

The Internet of Things Will Thrive by 2025; , ; Pew Research, Internet Research; In Their Blog; 2014-05-14.
Teaser: Many experts say the rise of embedded and wearable computing will bring the next revolution in digital technology.

Digital Life in 2025; , ; Pew Research, Internet Research; In Their Blog; 2014-03-11.
Teaser: Experts predict the Internet will become ‘like electricity’ — less visible, yet more deeply embedded in people’s lives for good and ill

Referenced